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Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 20h

Bitcoin price on Sep 21, 2026?

YES means $78,750 or above

24h volume
7,587
7,587 lifetime
Open interest
2,847
Spread
1¢
3,925 × 3,192 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
95%

A YES contract costs 96¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
5%

costs 5¢

YES bid / ask
95¢ / 96¢
NO bid / ask
4¢ / 5¢
Recent buying66% YES · 34% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,92898¢
  • ask7,78297¢
  • ask3,19296¢
spread1¢mid 96¢
  • bid3,92595¢
  • bid2,45894¢
  • bid1,37593¢
  • bid6,00092¢
  • bid3,36929¢
  • bid6928¢
  • bid20426¢
  • bid1120¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 78749.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 21 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 21 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
78749.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2117-T78749.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 66% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
28m ago95¢180bought yes
30m ago94¢1bought no
32m ago95¢5bought yes
42m ago94¢31bought no
60m ago95¢9bought no
1h ago95¢24bought no
1h ago95¢67bought yes
1h ago95¢83bought yes
2h ago95¢48bought yes
2h ago95¢24bought yes
2h ago95¢24bought yes
2h ago93¢24bought no
2h ago95¢2bought yes
2h ago95¢22bought yes
2h ago95¢24bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.