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Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 19h

Bitcoin price on Sep 21, 2026?

YES means $81,000 or above

24h volume
14.0k
14.0k lifetime
Open interest
7,494
Spread
2¢
310 × 2,782 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
60%

A YES contract costs 62¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
40%

costs 40¢

YES bid / ask
60¢ / 62¢
NO bid / ask
38¢ / 40¢
Recent buying65% YES · 35% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask30069¢
  • ask30068¢
  • ask30067¢
  • ask30066¢
  • ask5,20065¢
  • ask3,77364¢
  • ask4,95663¢
  • ask2,78262¢
spread2¢mid 61¢
  • bid31060¢
  • bid4,72459¢
  • bid7,49258¢
  • bid3,79657¢
  • bid59856¢
  • bid30055¢
  • bid30054¢
  • bid30053¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 80999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 21 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 21 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
80999.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2117-T80999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 65% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4m ago60¢200bought yes
4m ago60¢115bought yes
10m ago60¢62bought no
11m ago62¢199bought no
11m ago62¢0.01bought no
12m ago64¢76bought yes
14m ago64¢7bought yes
19m ago70¢311bought no
19m ago70¢1bought no
19m ago71¢3bought no
21m ago73¢18bought no
21m ago72¢90bought yes
21m ago72¢21bought yes
27m ago67¢9.8bought no
30m ago69¢71bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.