Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 19h

Bitcoin price on Sep 21, 2026?

YES means $83,750 or above

24h volume
846
893 lifetime
Open interest
821
Spread
85 × 3,266 at the touch
24h range
6¢ – 11¢
31 recent trades
Chance of YES
10%

A YES contract costs 10¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
90%

costs 91¢

YES bid / ask
/ 10¢
NO bid / ask
90¢ / 91¢
24h low 24h high 11¢
Recent buying32% YES · 68% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 83749.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 21 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 21 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
83749.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2117-T83749.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 31 trades, 32% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1m ago10¢47bought yes
7m ago10¢34bought yes
7m ago10¢13bought yes
8m ago100bought no
8m ago121bought no
8m ago51bought no
8m ago16bought no
10m ago9bought no
10m ago10bought no
10m ago10bought no
10m ago10bought no
10m ago10bought no
10m ago10bought no
10m ago10bought no
10m ago24bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.