Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 5d

Bitcoin price on Sep 25, 2026?

YES means $73,500 or above

24h volume
20.9k
26.1k lifetime
Open interest
17.7k
+17.7k over 7d
Spread
2,554 × 2,253 at the touch
24h range
95¢ – 99¢
47 recent trades
Chance of YES
96%2

A YES contract costs 98¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
4%

costs

YES bid / ask
96¢ / 98¢
NO bid / ask
/
24h low 95¢24h high 99¢
Recent buying19% YES · 81% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

85¢90¢95¢100¢volSep 18, 10:00 PMSep 21, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 73499.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 25 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 25 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
73499.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2517-T73499.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 47 trades, 19% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7h ago96¢214bought no
7h ago96¢1,712bought no
16h ago97¢75bought no
18h ago98¢2,204bought no
18h ago98¢2,000bought no
20h ago98¢100bought yes
22h ago97¢100bought no
23h ago97¢508bought no
23h ago97¢2,204bought no
23h ago97¢2,204bought no
23h ago97¢2,000bought no
23h ago97¢100bought no
23h ago97¢2,138bought no
23h ago97¢2,000bought no
23h ago97¢4bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.