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How high will Bitcoin get this year?·closes in 3mo

Will Bitcoin be above $119,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

YES means Above $119,999.99

24h volume
217
572.9k lifetime
Open interest
133.8k
Spread
1¢
101 × 214 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
9%

A YES contract costs 10¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
91%

costs 91¢

YES bid / ask
9¢ / 10¢
NO bid / ask
90¢ / 91¢
Recent buying43% YES · 57% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5221¢
  • ask9020¢
  • ask1,18017¢
  • ask6016¢
  • ask3,32613¢
  • ask26012¢
  • ask2011¢
  • ask21410¢
spread1¢mid 9¢
  • bid1019¢
  • bid2,7298¢
  • bid2,0357¢
  • bid3,1325¢
  • bid2,3574¢
  • bid4,2313¢
  • bid26.0k2¢
  • bid52.4k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $119999.99 starting 01/01/2026 12:00 AM and before Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 1 · 5:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC
floor
119999.99
ticker
KXBTCMAXY-26DEC31-119999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 43% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago9¢100bought yes
2h ago9¢10bought yes
2h ago9¢34bought yes
7h ago8¢9.4bought no
20h ago8¢2.8bought no
20h ago8¢7.64bought no
23h ago9¢10bought yes
24h ago8¢20bought no
24h ago8¢19bought no
24h ago8¢2.51bought no
1d ago9¢5bought yes
1d ago8¢1bought no
2d ago8¢3.51bought yes
2d ago8¢2.03bought yes
2d ago8¢1.16bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.