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KXBTCPRICE·closes in 7mo

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Jun 10, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

YES means By Jun 10, 2027

24h volume
553
28.3k lifetime
Open interest
17.2k
Spread
4¢
31 × 6,438 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
20%

A YES contract costs 20¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
80%

costs 84¢

YES bid / ask
16¢ / 20¢
NO bid / ask
80¢ / 84¢
Recent buying97% YES · 3% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $130000 starting Sep 22, 2026 and before Jun 10, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.

opened
Sep 22 · 7:00 PM UTC
closes
Jun 10, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jul 8, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
floor
130000
ticker
KXBTCPRICE-130000-27JUN10
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 97% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago20¢8.8bought yes
2h ago19¢6.67bought yes
2h ago19¢1.3bought yes
2h ago19¢2.68bought yes
6h ago20¢118bought yes
6h ago20¢0.11bought yes
6h ago17¢0.11bought no
7h ago19¢4.98bought yes
8h ago20¢24bought yes
9h ago19¢1.64bought yes
9h ago20¢10bought yes
10h ago20¢95bought yes
11h ago17¢92bought yes
11h ago19¢29bought yes
11h ago20¢12bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.