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Bushby·closes in 40mo

When will Karl Bushby reach his home of Hull, England from his walk around the world before 2030?

YES means Before 2030

24h volume
0
5,708 lifetime
Open interest
1,360
+0 over 7d
Spread
6¢
5 × 273 at the touch
24h range
–
11 recent trades
Chance of YES
91%

A YES contract costs 97¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
9%

costs 9¢

YES bid / ask
91¢ / 97¢
NO bid / ask
3¢ / 9¢
Recent buying41% YES · 59% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask50098¢
  • ask27397¢
spread6¢mid 94¢
  • bid591¢
  • bid50590¢
  • bid2560¢
  • bid27224¢
  • bid1,62923¢
  • bid8883¢
  • bid8,5001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Karl Bushby reaches his home of Hull, England from his walk around the world before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 17, 2025 · 8:45 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXBUSHBY-30
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will Karl Bushby Finish His World Walk to Hull Before 2030?.

Recent trades

Over the last 11 trades, 41% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
22d ago91¢1bought no
27d ago97¢7bought yes
1mo ago97¢15bought yes
1mo ago97¢3bought yes
1mo ago96¢1.03bought yes
2mo ago96¢7bought yes
2mo ago94¢62bought no
2mo ago96¢11bought yes
2mo ago93¢2bought no
2mo ago93¢4.72bought no
2mo ago96¢4.72bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.