Will Maryland approve the Camden Yards ground lease by the 2027 deadline?·closes in 16mo

Will the Maryland Board of Public Works announce final approval of a ground lease and its accompanying development plan granting the Baltimore Orioles or an affiliate the right to develop the state-owned land north of Lee Street at the Camden Yards Sports Complex before Jan 1, 2028?

YES means Yes

24h volume
0
0 lifetime
Open interest
0
Spread
54¢
1,738 × 3,026 at the touch
24h range
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 80¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 74¢

YES bid / ask
26¢ / 80¢
NO bid / ask
20¢ / 74¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6,61599¢
  • ask6,13098¢
  • ask5,89097¢
  • ask2,38096¢
  • ask5194¢
  • ask1,40084¢
  • ask3,02680¢
spread54¢mid 53¢
  • bid1,73826¢
  • bid1,40025¢
  • bid214
  • bid1,674
  • bid3,790
  • bid7,600
  • bid8,025
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Maryland Board of Public Works announces final approval of a ground lease and its accompanying development plan granting the Baltimore Orioles or an affiliate the right to develop the state-owned land north of Lee Street at the Camden Yards Sports Complex before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
Aug 17 · 7:09 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXCAMDENYARDS-26AUG-28JAN01
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will Maryland approve the Camden Yards ground lease before 2028?.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.