Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Jun 30, 2027?
YES means Before Jun 30, 2027
- 24h volume
- 0
- 67 lifetime
- Open interest
- 67
- +67 over 7d
- Spread
- 9¢
- 200 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 2 recent trades
A YES contract costs 60¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 49¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask10099¢
- ask3894¢
- ask71993¢
- ask20060¢
- bid20051¢
- bid37117¢
- bid20016¢
- bid1001¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Anthropic releases Claude 6+ (any family) before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- opened
- Sep 17 · 2:30 PM UTC
- closes
- Jun 30, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXCLAUDE-CLAUDE6-27JUN30
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 2 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 61¢ | 20 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 61¢ | 47 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.