CO2 level·closes in 40mo

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?

YES means At least 450

24h volume: 0; 4,321 lifetime
Open interest: 1,381; +8.25 over 7d
Spread: 8¢; 505 × 500 at the touch
24h range: 23¢ – 23¢

Chance of YES

23%

A YES contract costs 21¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

77%

costs 87¢

YES bid / ask

13¢ / 21¢

NO bid / ask

79¢ / 87¢

24h low 23¢24h high 23¢

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask3,45699¢
ask5098¢
ask2486¢
ask2068¢
ask1466¢
ask80265¢
ask10055¢
ask50021¢

spread8¢mid 17¢

bid50513¢
bid506¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the atmospheric concentration of CO2 is at least 450 before Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources

opened: Jul 2, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes: Jan 1, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by: Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor: 450
ticker: KXCO2LEVEL-30-450

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.