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Copa America·closes in 23mo

Will Argentina win the 2028 Copa America?

YES means Argentina

24h volume
0
2,066 lifetime
Open interest
847
+0 over 7d
Spread
11¢
680 × 537 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
36%

A YES contract costs 36¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
64%

costs 75¢

YES bid / ask
25¢ / 36¢
NO bid / ask
64¢ / 75¢
Recent buying33% YES · 67% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
20¢25¢30¢35¢40¢volSep 16, 10:00 PMSep 19, 4:00 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask31.0k63¢
  • ask1,00060¢
  • ask13759¢
  • ask5458¢
  • ask9051¢
  • ask15742¢
  • ask26738¢
  • ask53736¢
spread11¢mid 31¢
  • bid68025¢
  • bid9010¢
  • bid486¢
  • bid9255¢
  • bid12.2k4¢
  • bid28.5k3¢
  • bid55.0k2¢
  • bid514.5k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Argentina is the 2028 Copa America champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 14 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Aug 15, 2028 · 2:19 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Aug 1, 2028 · 2:19 PM UTC
ticker
KXCOPAAMERICA-28-ARG
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 162¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 33% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
22d ago36¢13bought yes
22d ago25¢4.91bought no
22d ago26¢1.32bought no
25d ago27¢0.68bought no
25d ago27¢3bought no
27d ago42¢1.3bought yes
27d ago41¢1bought yes
28d ago25¢0.32bought no
28d ago26¢1bought no
1mo ago25¢32bought no
1mo ago25¢1bought no
1mo ago25¢16bought no
1mo ago25¢8bought no
1mo ago25¢4bought no
1mo ago25¢2bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.