Coin Race 15 minutes·closed · YES

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have the highest return from Sep 20 - 5:45PM EDT to 6:00PM EDT?

YES means ETH

24h volume
744
744 lifetime
Open interest
305
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
36 recent trades
Chance of YES
99%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
1%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/ 100¢
NO bid / ask
/ 100¢
Recent buying94% YES · 6% NO

This market is closed and resolved YES. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Ethereum has the highest return out of BTC (Bitcoin), ETH (Ethereum), SOL (Solana), XRP (Ripple), and HYPE (Hyperliquid) in from Sep 20 - 5:45PM EDT to 6:00PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

The return for each cryptocurrency in the specified set is calculated independently over the given time period using the formula: Return = (Ending Price − Starting Price) / Starting Price × 100. The Starting Price and Ending Price are defined as the time-weighted average of the Spot Rate values published by CFBenchmarks during the 60-second intervals immediately preceding the start and end of the time period, respectively. Final returns are calculated on an identical basis for every cryptocurrency in the set and rounded to three decimal places (as a percentage). If two or more cryptocurrencies report an identical return (rounded to three decimal places) such that they are tied for the highest position, each tied cryptocurrency's Contract will resolve to "Yes" with a value equal to $1 divided by the number of cryptocurrencies tied for the highest position, rounded down to the nearest cent, and each remaining (non-tied) cryptocurrency's Contract will resolve to "No."

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 9:45 PM UTC
closes
Sep 20 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 20 · 10:05 PM UTC
ticker
KXCRYPTOLEAD15M-26SEP201800-ETH
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 106¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 36 trades, 94% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago99¢2bought yes
2h ago99¢10bought yes
2h ago99¢16bought yes
2h ago98¢1bought yes
2h ago99¢33bought yes
2h ago98¢16bought yes
2h ago95¢21bought yes
2h ago90¢16bought yes
2h ago83¢12bought yes
2h ago88¢1.12bought yes
2h ago87¢0.56bought yes
2h ago69¢16bought yes
2h ago70¢5.2bought yes
2h ago66¢2.83bought yes
2h ago57¢2bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.