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Crypto being positive·closes in 3mo

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?

YES means Ripple (XRP)

24h volume
23
146.3k lifetime
Open interest
47.7k
−1,217 over 7d
Spread
4¢
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
11¢ – 37¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
19%−2

A YES contract costs 20¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
81%

costs 84¢

YES bid / ask
16¢ / 20¢
NO bid / ask
80¢ / 84¢
24h low 11¢24h high 37¢
Recent buying65% YES · 35% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢20¢30¢40¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask9340¢
  • ask2,06835¢
  • ask6234¢
  • ask4533¢
  • ask7532¢
  • ask3631¢
  • ask13922¢
  • ask20020¢
spread4¢mid 18¢
  • bid516¢
  • bid5.6815¢
  • bid11514¢
  • bid5311¢
  • bid5,00310¢
  • bid329¢
  • bid5338¢
  • bid3317¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Ripple has a positive return in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Return will be calculated as: (last Price in <period>) minus (first Price in <period>), divided by (first Price in <period>). Price will be calculated by taking a simple average of the real-time CF Benchmarks index price in USD for <cryptocurrency> for the 60 seconds in a given minute, ignoring the top and bottom 20% of values.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 6 · 7:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-XRP
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 65% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago19¢22bought yes
2h ago19¢1bought yes
1d ago20¢4.12bought yes
1d ago21¢4.71bought yes
1d ago20¢5bought yes
1d ago22¢0.04bought yes
1d ago23¢2.75bought yes
1d ago22¢17bought yes
1d ago21¢1.37bought yes
2d ago16¢1.3bought no
2d ago15¢0.06bought no
2d ago16¢0.46bought no
2d ago20¢7.36bought no
2d ago19¢7.36bought no
2d ago37¢0.02bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.