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Who will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?·closes in 23mo

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?

YES means Chicago

24h volume
0
4,703 lifetime
Open interest
2,311
Spread
2¢
3.1 × 184 at the touch
24h range
–
18 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%

A YES contract costs 3¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 3¢
NO bid / ask
97¢ / 99¢
Recent buying65% YES · 35% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4799¢
  • ask0.3198¢
  • ask1790¢
  • ask1,23055¢
  • ask8.5524¢
  • ask118¢
  • ask5006¢
  • ask1843¢
spread2¢mid 2¢
  • bid3.11¢
  • bid4620¢
  • bid1,3340¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Chicago hosts the 2028 Democratic national convention, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 5 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Aug 7, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Aug 7, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXDNC28HOST-28-CHI
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 109¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 18 trades, 65% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago3¢31bought yes
15d ago3¢0.31bought yes
28d ago3¢217bought yes
1mo ago3¢187bought no
1mo ago4¢20bought no
1mo ago6¢63bought no
2mo ago11¢5bought yes
2mo ago12¢7.86bought yes
2mo ago12¢66bought yes
2mo ago11¢81bought yes
2mo ago10¢5bought yes
2mo ago11¢8.55bought yes
2mo ago10¢5bought yes
2mo ago11¢81bought yes
2mo ago10¢0.22bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.