Will the U.S. Department of Energy announce issuing a solicitation to exchange or sell crude oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve before Oct 1, 2026?
YES means Before Oct 1, 2026
- 24h volume
- 0
- 9.06 lifetime
- Open interest
- 3.4
- +0 over 7d
- Spread
- 7¢
- 5 × 3.4 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 5 recent trades
A YES contract costs 12¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 95¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask38384¢
- ask36983¢
- ask25855¢
- ask43354¢
- ask9447¢
- ask4446¢
- ask20013¢
- ask3.412¢
- bid55¢
- bid2004¢
- bid702¢
- bid1001¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the U.S. Department of Energy announces issuing a solicitation to exchange or sell crude oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
A solicitation means a competitive Request for Proposal or Notice of Sale formally issued by the U.S. Department of Energy and open for bids. The solicitation must be newly issued after this market opens. An award announcement, amendment, extension or re-issuance of a solicitation issued before that date does NOT count A solicitation to purchase or acquire crude oil to refill the Reserve does NOT count A statement of intent, a budget proposal, congressional testimony or an inventory report that does not itself open a bidding process does NOT count A solicitation that is issued and later cancelled before award still counts, because the trigger is the issuance
- opened
- Aug 24 · 9:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXDOESPRTENDER-26AUG-26OCT01
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Recent trades
Over the last 5 trades, 38% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19d ago | 11¢ | 3.4 | bought no |
| 19d ago | 10¢ | 1.13 | bought yes |
| 19d ago | 18¢ | 2.27 | bought yes |
| 22d ago | 13¢ | 1.13 | bought no |
| 23d ago | 13¢ | 1.13 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.