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Democratic presidential primaries·closes in 26mo

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

YES means Kamala Harris

24h volume
52
1,705 lifetime
Open interest
1,001
Spread
3¢
200 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
15 recent trades
Chance of YES
12%

A YES contract costs 16¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
88%

costs 87¢

YES bid / ask
13¢ / 16¢
NO bid / ask
84¢ / 87¢
Recent buying79% YES · 21% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20062¢
  • ask6649¢
  • ask6644¢
  • ask6639¢
  • ask6634¢
  • ask5529¢
  • ask5024¢
  • ask20016¢
spread3¢mid 15¢
  • bid20013¢
  • bid505¢
  • bid714¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Kamala Harris wins the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 24 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 10:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 10:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXDPRESPRIMARY-28SC-KHAR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 52¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 15 trades, 79% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
17h ago12¢52bought no
21d ago12¢1bought no
21d ago12¢97bought no
23d ago13¢5bought no
23d ago12¢195bought no
26d ago21¢298bought yes
29d ago20¢5bought yes
29d ago21¢2bought yes
29d ago20¢45bought yes
1mo ago20¢1,000bought yes
1mo ago5¢1bought no
2mo ago15¢1bought no
2mo ago15¢0.78bought no
2mo ago18¢0.78bought yes
2mo ago18¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.