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Ebay Annual KPI·closes in 19mo

Will eBay Inc. report Above $87.5 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?

YES means Above $87.5 billion

24h volume
10
1,778 lifetime
Open interest
596
Spread
7¢
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
59%−1

A YES contract costs 60¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
41%

costs 47¢

YES bid / ask
53¢ / 60¢
NO bid / ask
40¢ / 47¢
Recent buying93% YES · 7% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3899¢
  • ask3198¢
  • ask72392¢
  • ask20091¢
  • ask0.3889¢
  • ask2975¢
  • ask20060¢
spread7¢mid 56¢
  • bid553¢
  • bid1751¢
  • bid20050¢
  • bid20022¢
  • bid39221¢
  • bid99313¢
  • bid2,40311¢
  • bid1,9734¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If eBay Inc. reports Above 87500000000.0 gross merchandise volume in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
87500000000
ticker
KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-87500000000.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 93% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5h ago59¢10bought yes
2d ago60¢25bought yes
3d ago63¢8.38bought yes
3d ago61¢1.62bought yes
6d ago62¢5bought yes
6d ago53¢1.62bought no
7d ago55¢3.19bought no
7d ago60¢5bought yes
7d ago60¢1.62bought yes
7d ago61¢38bought yes
8d ago61¢3.19bought yes
9d ago57¢10bought yes
10d ago59¢10bought yes
10d ago60¢4bought yes
14d ago75¢4bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.