ETH Monthly One touch·closed · YES

Will ETH trimmed mean be above $2500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?

YES means Above $2,500.00

24h volume
0
5,600 lifetime
Open interest
4,247
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
99%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
1%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/ 100¢
NO bid / ask
/ 100¢
Recent buying85% YES · 15% NO

This market is closed and resolved YES. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of ETH after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026 is ever above $ 2500.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF ETHUSD_RTI price for ETH. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 1 · 4:10 AM UTC
closes
Sep 3 · 4:14 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC
floor
2500
ticker
KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26SEP30-250000
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 85% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
17d ago99¢600bought yes
17d ago99¢501bought yes
18d ago99¢499bought yes
18d ago99¢1bought yes
18d ago95¢52bought no
18d ago95¢4.61bought no
18d ago95¢16bought no
18d ago96¢57bought yes
18d ago84¢191bought yes
18d ago84¢409bought yes
18d ago83¢11bought yes
18d ago82¢9bought yes
18d ago76¢5bought yes
18d ago77¢5bought yes
18d ago73¢13bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.