galdor.xyz
Admin
KXETHMINMON·closes in 10d

Will ETH trimmed mean be below $750.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?

YES means Below $750.00

24h volume
0
1,200 lifetime
Open interest
1,200
+0 over 7d
Spread
1¢
0 × 5,444 at the touch
24h range
–
2 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
Recent buying0% YES · 100% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 14Sep 18

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4907¢
  • ask6004¢
  • ask3,0003¢
  • ask2,4002¢
  • ask5,4441¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If the price of ETH after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026 is ever below $750.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

    At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF ETHUSD_RTI price for ETH. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Sep 1 · 4:10 AM UTC
    closes
    Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC
    cap
    750
    ticker
    KXETHMINMON-ETH-26SEP30-75000
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 2 trades, 0% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    19d ago1¢1,000bought no
    19d ago1¢200bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.