Will it be reported by the European Commission that the European Travel Information and Authorisation System (ETIAS) begins accepting applications from the public before Jan 1, 2028?
YES means Yes
- 24h volume
- 0
- 12 lifetime
- Open interest
- 12
- +0 over 7d
- Spread
- 8¢
- 5 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 1 recent trades
A YES contract costs 82¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 26¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask6299¢
- ask35998¢
- ask5897¢
- ask3296¢
- ask20082¢
- bid574¢
- bid20073¢
- bid20016¢
- bid67815¢
- bid631¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the European Travel Information and Authorisation System (ETIAS) begins accepting applications from the public after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Only reporting from the European Commission qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Applications must be open on the European Union's own official ETIAS platform, and a limited or phased opening counts provided any eligible traveler can apply. The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: An announced future start date, including one set by decision in the Official Journal Testing, or a pilot restricted to carriers, staff or officials Applications collected by a commercial or third-party website The later date on which an ETIAS becomes required for entry
- opened
- Aug 20 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXETIASAPPLY-28
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in Will the EU's ETIAS accept applications before 2028?.
Recent trades
Over the last 1 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | 82¢ | 12 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.