Will Italy vote to leave the EU before 2030?
YES means Italy
- 24h volume
- 0
- 4,564 lifetime
- Open interest
- 4,081
- +0 over 7d
- Spread
- 6¢
- 189 × 1,000 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 7 recent trades
A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 99¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask91382¢
- ask1,64956¢
- ask1,08555¢
- ask20044¢
- ask49343¢
- ask127¢
- ask5120¢
- ask1,0007¢
- bid1891¢
- bid5500¢
- bid202.0k0¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Italy votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Feb 18, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXEUEXITCOUNTRY-30-ITA
Recent trades
Over the last 7 trades, 99% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19d ago | 1¢ | 11 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 4¢ | 38 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 4¢ | 13 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 4¢ | 653 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 3¢ | 16 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 3¢ | 45 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 4¢ | 36 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.