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Intellia Therapeutics drug approval date·closes in 9mo

When will the FDA approve Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema?

YES means Before July 2027

24h volume
0
4,635 lifetime
Open interest
2,591
−68 over 7d
Spread
6¢
5 × 2.73 at the touch
24h range
–
41 recent trades
Chance of YES
96%

A YES contract costs 93¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
4%

costs 13¢

YES bid / ask
87¢ / 93¢
NO bid / ask
7¢ / 13¢
Recent buying76% YES · 24% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢75¢100¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask3598¢
  • ask0.3397¢
  • ask20094¢
  • ask2.7393¢
spread6¢mid 90¢
  • bid587¢
  • bid20086¢
  • bid0.0543¢
  • bid34035¢
  • bid25134¢
  • bid492¢
  • bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the FDA approves Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema for marketing before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 24 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jul 1, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXFDAAPPROVALDATENTLA-LONV-27JUL01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 41 trades, 76% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago96¢5bought yes
5d ago86¢63bought no
5d ago87¢5bought no
9d ago62¢5bought yes
9d ago64¢69bought yes
9d ago83¢14bought yes
9d ago84¢44bought yes
9d ago85¢27bought yes
9d ago65¢200bought yes
11d ago58¢2.73bought no
11d ago59¢200bought yes
11d ago52¢10bought yes
11d ago53¢200bought yes
12d ago50¢178bought no
12d ago47¢10bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.