Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?
YES means Before 2033
- 24h volume
- 61
- 10.8k lifetime
- Open interest
- 4,720
- Spread
- 6¢
- 65 × 19 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 41¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 65¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the FDA approves a cure for Type 1 diabetes before Jan 1, 2033, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Jun 27, 2025 · 8:45 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2033 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2033 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXFDATYPE1DIABETES-33
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 59% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 35¢ | 61 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 35¢ | 26 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 40¢ | 4.5 | bought yes |
| 4d ago | 36¢ | 1.52 | bought yes |
| 4d ago | 36¢ | 1.08 | bought yes |
| 4d ago | 35¢ | 4.5 | bought no |
| 5d ago | 35¢ | 34 | bought no |
| 7d ago | 36¢ | 3.04 | bought no |
| 8d ago | 36¢ | 1.52 | bought no |
| 9d ago | 36¢ | 8 | bought no |
| 9d ago | 36¢ | 53 | bought no |
| 11d ago | 37¢ | 1.98 | bought yes |
| 11d ago | 37¢ | 3.02 | bought yes |
| 13d ago | 37¢ | 2.28 | bought yes |
| 13d ago | 37¢ | 0.41 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.