galdor.xyz
Admin
Fed meeting·closes in 9mo

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their June 2027 meeting?

YES means Fed maintains rate

24h volume
0
1,430 lifetime
Open interest
613
−1 over 7d
Spread
9¢
4 × 2 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
59%

A YES contract costs 68¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
41%

costs 41¢

YES bid / ask
59¢ / 68¢
NO bid / ask
32¢ / 41¢
Recent buying53% YES · 47% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢60¢70¢80¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,22481¢
  • ask16880¢
  • ask19079¢
  • ask40774¢
  • ask10273¢
  • ask3472¢
  • ask171¢
  • ask268¢
spread9¢mid 64¢
  • bid459¢
  • bid8457¢
  • bid17856¢
  • bid19855¢
  • bid953¢
  • bid68452¢
  • bid49951¢
  • bid40749¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on June 09, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 6, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jun 9, 2027 · 5:59 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jun 9, 2027 · 6:05 PM UTC
ticker
KXFEDDECISION-27JUN-H0
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 139¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 53% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago59¢1bought yes
12d ago58¢93bought no
12d ago60¢50bought no
12d ago61¢5bought no
12d ago55¢2.16bought no
12d ago70¢1.31bought yes
15d ago62¢5bought yes
16d ago62¢16bought yes
16d ago62¢57bought yes
16d ago63¢21bought yes
17d ago65¢0.3bought yes
17d ago69¢21bought yes
17d ago70¢35bought yes
20d ago59¢67bought no
20d ago59¢7bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.