Fed ended·closes in 3mo

Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before Jan 1, 2027?

YES means Before Jan 1, 2027

24h volume: 0; 10.5k lifetime
Open interest: 2,441; +0 over 7d
Spread: 3¢; 187 × 300 at the touch
24h range: –; 4 recent trades

Chance of YES

A YES contract costs 3¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask

0¢ / 3¢

NO bid / ask

97¢ / 100¢

Recent buying92% YES · 8% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask20028¢
ask20027¢
ask19¢
ask2005¢
ask3,0003¢
ask1,0003¢
ask1,0003¢
ask3003¢

spread3¢mid 2¢

bid1870¢
bid1,1400¢
bid2000¢
bid1,0000¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Federal Reserve System has ended before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources

opened: Nov 21, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes: Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXFEDEND-27-JAN01

Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027?.

Recent trades

Over the last 4 trades, 92% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
28d ago	0¢	13	bought no
29d ago	3¢	0.01	bought yes
1mo ago	3¢	13	bought yes
2mo ago	4¢	134	bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.