Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 2.75%?
YES means Above 2.75%
- 24h volume
- 0
- 0.61 lifetime
- Open interest
- 0.31
- Spread
- 49¢
- 0.3 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 5 recent trades
A YES contract costs 80¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 69¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask20080¢
- bid0.331¢
- bid20030¢
- bid25919¢
- bid2,07118¢
- bid6,59713¢
- bid2,03410¢
- bid9,1309¢
- bid19.1k5¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 2.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the Federal Reserve specifies a single target rate rather than a target range, that target rate will be used.
- opened
- Jul 29 · 6:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2034 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 8, 2034 · 6:30 AM UTC
- floor
- 2.75
- ticker
- KXFEDFUNDSYEAR-34JAN01-T2.75
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 5 trades, 51% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo ago | 52¢ | 0.3 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 53¢ | 0.1 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 53¢ | 0.1 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 53¢ | 0.1 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 27¢ | 0.01 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.