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Global account ownership be in the next Global Findex release·closes in 64mo

Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 85%?

YES means Above 85%

24h volume
0
0 lifetime
Open interest
0
Spread
8¢
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 18¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 90¢

YES bid / ask
10¢ / 18¢
NO bid / ask
82¢ / 90¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask39971¢
  • ask20070¢
  • ask20018¢
spread8¢mid 14¢
  • bid510¢
  • bid2009¢
  • bid352¢
  • bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the World Bank reports that the global account ownership in the next Global Findex release is above 85%, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Underlying is the percentage reported for “World” under the World Bank indicator “Account ownership at a financial institution or with a mobile-money-service provider (% of population ages 15+),” series code FX.OWN.TOTL.ZS, for the earliest reference year after 2024. The Underlying will be rounded to the nearest 0.1 percentage point. If the Underlying is exactly halfway between two values, it will be rounded to the value farther from zero. Revisions to the 2024 observation will not qualify. If the World Bank changes the name, presentation, series code, or publication location without materially changing what the indicator measures, the corresponding successor series may be used.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 5 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2031 · 2:59 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 7, 2032 · 4:30 PM UTC
floor
85
ticker
KXFINDEXACCOUNT-31DEC31-T85
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.