GDP growth in 2028?
YES means 0.0% or Below
- 24h volume
- 0
- 663 lifetime
- Open interest
- 426
- Spread
- 1¢
- 83 × 28 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 10 recent trades
A YES contract costs 9¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 92¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask20058¢
- ask1,33956¢
- ask5055¢
- ask1,00018¢
- ask10011¢
- ask289¢
- bid838¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the United States real GDP growth in 2028 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2028. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2028 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2028 GDP in early 2029. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. All stated bounds are inclusive. For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.
- opened
- Jun 8 · 8:30 PM UTC
- closes
- Feb 28, 2029 · 1:29 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Feb 28, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- cap
- 0.1
- ticker
- KXGDPYEAR-28-T0.1
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Recent trades
Over the last 10 trades, 94% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | 9¢ | 82 | bought yes |
| 6d ago | 9¢ | 14 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 9¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 9¢ | 4 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 8¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 8¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 8¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 8¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 8¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 8¢ | 2 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.