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Gold Hourly·closes in 22m

Will the gold close price be above 4123.99 USD/ounce on November 04, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET?

YES means Above $4123.99

24h volume
1,408
1,720 lifetime
Open interest
874
+0 over 7d
Spread
5¢
50 × 51 at the touch
24h range
51¢ – 95¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
58%

A YES contract costs 49¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
42%

costs 56¢

YES bid / ask
44¢ / 49¢
NO bid / ask
51¢ / 56¢
24h low 51¢24h high 95¢
Recent buying88% YES · 12% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20064¢
  • ask5063¢
  • ask2162¢
  • ask5061¢
  • ask5059¢
  • ask0.0158¢
  • ask5157¢
  • ask356¢
spread6¢mid 53¢
  • bid5150¢
  • bid0.0149¢
  • bid5048¢
  • bid347¢
  • bid5546¢
  • bid5044¢
  • bid9042¢
  • bid20041¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on November 04, 2026 at 10:00 PM EST is above 4123.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.

The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market. NA

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 5 · 1:45 AM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
4123.99
ticker
KXGOLDH-26NOV0422-T4123.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 88% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
26s ago58¢3bought no
1m ago70¢50bought no
2m ago74¢50bought no
5m ago69¢1bought yes
5m ago69¢50bought yes
5m ago70¢0.01bought yes
5m ago71¢24bought yes
6m ago73¢0.01bought yes
6m ago71¢50bought yes
6m ago71¢1bought yes
6m ago74¢50bought yes
6m ago76¢33bought yes
7m ago72¢14bought yes
11m ago67¢1.47bought yes
12m ago68¢5.4bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.