Gold Hourly·closes in 23m

Will the gold close price be above 4131.99 USD/ounce on November 04, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET?

YES means Above $4131.99

24h volume
650
720 lifetime
Open interest
586
+0 over 7d
Spread
20¢
3 × 27 at the touch
24h range
19¢ – 61¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
30%

A YES contract costs 42¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
70%

costs 78¢

YES bid / ask
22¢ / 42¢
NO bid / ask
58¢ / 78¢
24h low 19¢24h high 61¢
Recent buying23% YES · 77% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5065¢
  • ask5063¢
  • ask1561¢
  • ask4759¢
  • ask22050¢
  • ask0.0149¢
  • ask1443¢
  • ask3642¢
spread19¢mid 33¢
  • bid323¢
  • bid121¢
  • bid318¢
  • bid4117¢
  • bid1816¢
  • bid15014¢
  • bid6411¢
  • bid2009¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on November 04, 2026 at 10:00 PM EST is above 4131.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.

The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market. NA

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 5 · 1:55 AM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
4131.99
ticker
KXGOLDH-26NOV0422-T4131.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 23% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
51s ago30¢1bought no
2m ago22¢0.86bought no
4m ago46¢3.89bought yes
4m ago58¢3bought yes
4m ago58¢1bought yes
4m ago58¢0.01bought yes
4m ago51¢1bought yes
4m ago59¢3.31bought yes
5m ago31¢1bought no
5m ago35¢10bought no
5m ago45¢0.01bought yes
5m ago42¢23bought yes
5m ago46¢16bought yes
5m ago41¢1bought yes
5m ago42¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.