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Gold Hourly·closes in 22m

Will the gold close price be above 4135.99 USD/ounce on November 04, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET?

YES means Above $4135.99

24h volume
1,850
1,850 lifetime
Open interest
920
Spread
18¢
637 × 285 at the touch
24h range
8¢ – 71¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
9%

A YES contract costs 26¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
91%

costs 92¢

YES bid / ask
8¢ / 26¢
NO bid / ask
74¢ / 92¢
24h low 8¢24h high 71¢
Recent buying8% YES · 92% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask14349¢
  • ask4848¢
  • ask4046¢
  • ask2036¢
  • ask20033¢
  • ask58528¢
  • ask55227¢
  • ask54226¢
spread18¢mid 17¢
  • bid6378¢
  • bid5537¢
  • bid5856¢
  • bid164¢
  • bid1463¢
  • bid2161¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on November 04, 2026 at 10:00 PM EST is above 4135.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.

The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market. NA

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 5 · 1:55 AM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
4135.99
ticker
KXGOLDH-26NOV0422-T4135.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 8% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8m ago9¢5.46bought no
10m ago8¢9.79bought no
10m ago9¢3.81bought no
13m ago13¢18bought no
13m ago10¢0.01bought no
13m ago9¢82bought no
13m ago9¢146bought no
17m ago21¢50bought no
17m ago23¢50bought no
17m ago25¢50bought no
18m ago28¢0.01bought no
18m ago27¢9.1bought no
18m ago27¢50bought no
18m ago29¢0.89bought no
18m ago30¢0.01bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.