Gold Hourly·closes in 14m

Will the gold close price be above 4381.99 USD/ounce on September 20, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET?

YES means Above $4381.99

24h volume
300
300 lifetime
Open interest
300
Spread
96¢
25 × 0 at the touch
24h range
20¢ – 22¢
12 recent trades
Chance of YES
22%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
78%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
/ 100¢
NO bid / ask
/ 96¢
24h low 20¢24h high 22¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
    spreadmid
    • bid25
    • bid22
    • bid25
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on September 20, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT is above 4381.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.

    The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market. NA

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Sep 20 · 9:01 PM UTC
    closes
    Sep 20 · 11:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Sep 20 · 11:00 PM UTC
    floor
    4381.99
    ticker
    KXGOLDH-26SEP2019-T4381.99
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 12 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    9m ago22¢25bought yes
    9m ago20¢25bought yes
    9m ago20¢25bought yes
    10m ago20¢25bought yes
    11m ago20¢25bought yes
    11m ago20¢25bought yes
    12m ago20¢25bought yes
    12m ago20¢25bought yes
    13m ago22¢25bought yes
    13m ago22¢25bought yes
    13m ago22¢25bought yes
    14m ago22¢25bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.