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Will golfer win a major by 2030?·closes in 16mo

Will Sam Burns win a golf major championship in 2027?

YES means Sam Burns

24h volume
0
392 lifetime
Open interest
218
Spread
14¢
199 × 1,250 at the touch
24h range
–
16 recent trades
Chance of YES
10%

A YES contract costs 24¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
90%

costs 90¢

YES bid / ask
10¢ / 24¢
NO bid / ask
76¢ / 90¢
Recent buying70% YES · 30% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,60273¢
  • ask32372¢
  • ask22669¢
  • ask3145¢
  • ask9039¢
  • ask10030¢
  • ask10025¢
  • ask1,25024¢
spread14¢mid 17¢
  • bid19910¢
  • bid1005¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Sam Burns wins a golf major championship (including The Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

A golf major refers to one of the four annual major championship tournaments officially designated by the sport’s governing bodies: The Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, and The Open Championship. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 20 · 3:30 PM UTC
closes
Jan 14, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXGOLFMAJOR-27-SBUR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 16 trades, 70% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11d ago11¢11bought no
11d ago10¢0.58bought no
19d ago20¢0.58bought yes
19d ago20¢11bought yes
19d ago20¢95bought yes
1mo ago8¢10bought no
1mo ago8¢62bought no
1mo ago9¢34bought no
1mo ago20¢4.73bought yes
1mo ago15¢5bought yes
1mo ago31¢19bought yes
1mo ago16¢34bought yes
1mo ago16¢44bought yes
1mo ago15¢5bought yes
1mo ago16¢25bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.