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Google KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Alphabet Inc. report above 204000 total number of employees in 2026?

YES means Above 204000

24h volume
0
5,426 lifetime
Open interest
637
+5.12 over 7d
Spread
8¢
5 × 8.93 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
50%

A YES contract costs 60¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
50%

costs 48¢

YES bid / ask
52¢ / 60¢
NO bid / ask
40¢ / 48¢
Recent buying54% YES · 46% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4075¢
  • ask20061¢
  • ask8.9360¢
spread8¢mid 56¢
  • bid552¢
  • bid20051¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Alphabet Inc. reports above 204000 total number of employees in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market refers to the annual figure reported in Alphabet Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 23 · 10:24 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
204000
ticker
KXGOOGA-28JANHEAD-204000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 54% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago52¢5bought no
3d ago50¢2.97bought no
3d ago57¢5.1bought yes
4d ago57¢17bought yes
4d ago50¢4.03bought no
4d ago49¢8.94bought no
6d ago50¢0.97bought no
6d ago58¢0.97bought yes
11d ago64¢7.6bought yes
12d ago55¢0.73bought no
12d ago56¢31bought no
12d ago55¢31bought no
13d ago61¢16bought yes
13d ago61¢0.73bought yes
13d ago55¢1.57bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.