Who will be the Prime Minister of Greece after their election?·closes in 22mo

Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis become Prime Minister of Greece following the next Greek general election?

YES means Kyriakos Mitsotakis

24h volume
0
523 lifetime
Open interest
511
+0 over 7d
Spread
500 × 251 at the touch
24h range
4 recent trades
Chance of YES
85%

A YES contract costs 81¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
15%

costs 21¢

YES bid / ask
79¢ / 81¢
NO bid / ask
19¢ / 21¢
Recent buying2% YES · 98% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask1,19498¢
  • ask5097¢
  • ask50087¢
  • ask25181¢
spreadmid 80¢
  • bid50079¢
  • bid1072¢
  • bid44638¢
  • bid64037¢
  • bid7613¢
  • bid200
  • bid3,320
  • bid4,790
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Kyriakos Mitsotakis becomes Prime Minister of Greece as a result of government formation following the next Greek general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Jul 25, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Jul 25, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.

opened
Aug 3 · 11:30 PM UTC
closes
Jul 25, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jul 25, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXGREEKPM-27JUL25-KMIT
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 4 trades, 2% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
26d ago85¢10bought no
1mo ago85¢1bought no
2mo ago87¢11bought yes
2mo ago83¢500bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.