who will headline event·closes in 16mo

Will A$AP Rocky be a headliner at Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027?

YES means A$AP Rocky

24h volume
4,000
15.9k lifetime
Open interest
2,118
+1,148 over 7d
Spread
12.3k × 2,839 at the touch
24h range
4¢ – 5¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
5%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
95%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
95¢ / 96¢
24h low 24h high
Recent buying62% YES · 38% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask15082¢
  • ask68051¢
  • ask1,66544¢
  • ask1,69143¢
  • ask1342¢
  • ask7220¢
  • ask10014¢
  • ask2,839
spreadmid
  • bid12.3k
  • bid226
  • bid750
  • bid2,056
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If A$AP Rocky is the a headliner at Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

opened
Aug 19 · 12:27 AM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXHEADLINE-BON27DEC31-ASA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 62% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9h ago498bought yes
9h ago0.01bought yes
9h ago500bought yes
9h ago2bought yes
9h ago1,000bought yes
9h ago500bought no
9h ago1,500bought no
1d ago19bought yes
2d ago431bought yes
5d ago38bought yes
12d ago0.26bought no
15d ago25bought yes
15d ago200bought yes
15d ago75bought yes
15d ago0.01bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.