who will headline event·closes in 16mo

Will Sabrina Carpenter be a headliner at Boston Calling Music Festival 2027?

YES means Sabrina Carpenter

24h volume
1,702
3,801 lifetime
Open interest
939
−111 over 7d
Spread
14.1k × 1,657 at the touch
24h range
7¢ – 13¢
18 recent trades
Chance of YES
8%6

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
92%

costs 93¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
92¢ / 93¢
24h low 24h high 13¢
Recent buying49% YES · 51% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

5¢10¢15¢20¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,45847¢
  • ask1,76746¢
  • ask15045¢
  • ask12944¢
  • ask9043¢
  • ask342¢
  • ask60114¢
  • ask1,657
spreadmid
  • bid14.1k
  • bid500
  • bid666
  • bid1,379
  • bid13.0k
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Sabrina Carpenter is the a headliner at Boston Calling Music Festival 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

opened
Aug 19 · 12:10 AM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXHEADLINE-BOS27DEC31-SAB
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 18 trades, 49% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1h ago200bought yes
1h ago401bought yes
1h ago200bought yes
8h ago100bought no
12h ago100bought no
16h ago13¢1bought no
16h ago10¢100bought no
16h ago13¢50bought no
16h ago13¢500bought no
16h ago13¢50bought no
1d ago14¢337bought yes
1d ago14¢500bought yes
1d ago14¢200bought yes
2d ago13¢12bought no
8d ago14¢13bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.