who will headline event·closes in 16mo

Will Stella Lefty be a a headliner at Stagecoach 2027?

YES means Stella Lefty

24h volume
0
1,771 lifetime
Open interest
1,524
Spread
20¢
0 × 282 at the touch
24h range
13 recent trades
Chance of YES
5%

A YES contract costs 20¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
95%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/ 20¢
NO bid / ask
80¢ / 100¢
Recent buying6% YES · 94% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Stella Lefty is a headliner at Stagecoach 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 11 · 7:30 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXHEADLINE-STA27DEC31-STE
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 13 trades, 6% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5d ago25bought yes
5d ago74bought yes
1mo ago14¢74bought no
1mo ago16¢74bought no
1mo ago18¢200bought no
1mo ago19¢93bought no
1mo ago18¢82bought no
1mo ago19¢25bought no
1mo ago23¢200bought no
1mo ago23¢100bought no
1mo ago23¢250bought no
1mo ago23¢500bought no
1mo ago23¢74bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.