Will Pete Hoekstra be out as US Ambassador to Canada before Dec 12, 2026?
YES means Before Dec 12, 2026
- 24h volume
- 0
- 1,900 lifetime
- Open interest
- 1,500
- +0 over 7d
- Spread
- 3¢
- 100 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 12 recent trades
A YES contract costs 10¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 93¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask5099¢
- ask30085¢
- ask2,16284¢
- ask30043¢
- ask20010¢
- bid1007¢
- bid2105¢
- bid3004¢
- bid1021¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Pete Hoekstra leaves as US Ambassador to Canada before Dec 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Pete Hoekstra must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure and the natural expiration of a term. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. House of Commons petition e-7531 is NOT a resolution condition. Whether it is certified, presented, debated, answered or withdrawn has no bearing on settlement.
- opened
- Aug 19 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Dec 12 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXHOEKSTRAOUT-26AUG-26DEC12
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 12 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29d ago | 8¢ | 100 | bought yes |
| 29d ago | 5¢ | 50 | bought yes |
| 29d ago | 5¢ | 50 | bought yes |
| 29d ago | 5¢ | 200 | bought yes |
| 29d ago | 5¢ | 300 | bought yes |
| 29d ago | 5¢ | 250 | bought yes |
| 29d ago | 5¢ | 200 | bought yes |
| 29d ago | 5¢ | 25 | bought yes |
| 29d ago | 5¢ | 0.23 | bought yes |
| 29d ago | 5¢ | 200 | bought yes |
| 29d ago | 5¢ | 500 | bought yes |
| 29d ago | 5¢ | 25 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.