CK Hutchison v Panama over the canal ports·closes in 40mo

Will CK Hutchison win its Panama ports arbitration?

YES means Before 2030

24h volume
0
24 lifetime
Open interest
24
+24 over 7d
Spread
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
40¢ – 40¢
1 recent trades
Chance of YES
40%

A YES contract costs 40¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
60%

costs 69¢

YES bid / ask
31¢ / 40¢
NO bid / ask
60¢ / 69¢
24h low 40¢24h high 40¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 17Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If CK Hutchison has achieved the superior outcome in the trial-level resolution of its Panama ports arbitration (originally filed in the ICC), then the market resolves to Yes.

The Panama ports arbitration is the International Chamber of Commerce arbitration brought against the Republic of Panama over the Balboa and Cristobal terminals by Panama Ports Company, CK Hutchison's subsidiary. A recovery by Panama Ports Company is a recovery by CK Hutchison for the purposes of this market. CK Hutchison's separate treaty-based claim against Panama, and its arbitration against Maersk, do not resolve this market. If no trial-level resolution occurs before the expiration date, the market resolves to No. CK Hutchison achieves the superior outcome through the following exclusive hierarchy: Net Monetary Recovery (Highest Priority): CK Hutchison achieves the superior outcome if they receive a larger net monetary award than all opposing parties combined (after offsetting any awards against CK Hutchison). Attorney's fees and costs are excluded. Substantive Legal Victory (Second Priority): If no net monetary advantage exists, CK Hutchison achieves the superior outcome if they prevail on claims seeking the largest dollar amount of relief in their original pleadings, or if relief amounts are equal, on the greater number of primary causes of action. Case Termination Advantage (Third Priority): If the case terminates without substantive judgment, CK Hutchison achieves the superior outcome if (as defendant) all claims are dismissed with prejudice, or (as plaintiff) opposing parties voluntarily dismiss all claims with prejudice. All other termination scenarios result in no superior outcome for any party. Settlements: Superior outcome if net payment flows to CK Hutchison; no superior outcome if payment flows from CK Hutchison; no party achieves superior outcome if terms are sealed or undisclosed. Key exclusions: Applies only to trial-level resolution and specifically excludes all appeals processes. Procedural victories alone do not constitute superior outcomes.

opened
Aug 20 · 6:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXHUTCHISONPANAMA-30
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 1 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago40¢24bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.