Who will be the Prime Minister of India after their election?·closes in 44mo

Will N. Chandrababu Naidu become Prime Minister of India following the next Indian general election?

YES means N. Chandrababu Naidu

24h volume
0
2,342 lifetime
Open interest
1,006
+0 over 7d
Spread
50 × 200 at the touch
24h range
13 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
93¢ / 99¢
Recent buying28% YES · 72% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢volSep 18, 7:00 PMSep 21, 12:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If N. Chandrababu Naidu becomes Prime Minister of India as a result of government formation following the next Indian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Apr 30, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Apr 30, 2030, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 20 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Apr 30, 2030 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Apr 30, 2030 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXINDIANPM-29APR30-NNAI
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 93¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 13 trades, 28% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
25d ago4.69bought yes
2mo ago3bought yes
2mo ago5bought yes
2mo ago652bought yes
2mo ago25bought no
2mo ago100bought no
2mo ago1,501bought no
2mo ago26bought no
2mo ago7bought no
2mo ago7bought no
2mo ago7bought no
2mo ago2bought no
2mo ago2bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.