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INXDIRY·closes in 3mo

Will the S&P 500 be above 7500 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

YES means 7,500 or above

24h volume
0
268 lifetime
Open interest
144
Spread
4¢
10 × 12 at the touch
24h range
–
36 recent trades
Chance of YES
71%

A YES contract costs 73¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
29%

costs 31¢

YES bid / ask
69¢ / 73¢
NO bid / ask
27¢ / 31¢
Recent buying23% YES · 77% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask18896¢
  • ask5395¢
  • ask1878¢
  • ask5877¢
  • ask8976¢
  • ask1175¢
  • ask3374¢
  • ask1273¢
spread4¢mid 71¢
  • bid1069¢
  • bid568¢
  • bid1467¢
  • bid6766¢
  • bid5065¢
  • bid7558¢
  • bid2257¢
  • bid935¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 7500, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 29 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
7500.0001
ticker
KXINXDIRY-26DEC31H1600-T7500
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 36 trades, 23% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago71¢0.98bought no
4d ago71¢4bought no
4d ago72¢95bought no
4d ago72¢5bought no
4d ago71¢0.03bought no
4d ago71¢3bought no
4d ago71¢0.13bought no
4d ago71¢3bought no
4d ago71¢0.24bought no
4d ago71¢3bought no
11d ago68¢6.07bought no
11d ago68¢5bought no
19d ago77¢6bought yes
21d ago75¢6.9bought yes
21d ago76¢3.33bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.