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INXDIRY·closes in 16mo

Will the S&P 500 be above 8000 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?

YES means 8,000 or above

24h volume
0
5,209 lifetime
Open interest
3,548
Spread
11¢
100 × 1.83 at the touch
24h range
–
37 recent trades
Chance of YES
61%

A YES contract costs 73¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
39%

costs 38¢

YES bid / ask
62¢ / 73¢
NO bid / ask
27¢ / 38¢
Recent buying73% YES · 27% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10.1k99¢
  • ask8098¢
  • ask7197¢
  • ask7596¢
  • ask3.1975¢
  • ask11974¢
  • ask1.8373¢
spread11¢mid 68¢
  • bid10062¢
  • bid26761¢
  • bid1,06460¢
  • bid3641¢
  • bid1,00040¢
  • bid9426¢
  • bid1225¢
  • bid2354¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST is above 8000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 17 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
8000.0001
ticker
KXINXDIRY-27DEC31H1600-T8000
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 37 trades, 73% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5d ago61¢25bought no
5d ago62¢16bought no
13d ago64¢16bought yes
13d ago61¢3.19bought yes
15d ago59¢0.71bought no
15d ago59¢7.26bought no
16d ago59¢12bought no
16d ago61¢1.59bought yes
16d ago61¢3.19bought yes
16d ago61¢7.97bought yes
17d ago57¢1.93bought no
17d ago57¢61bought no
17d ago57¢2.34bought no
17d ago56¢61bought no
17d ago60¢7.44bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.