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S&P 500 max yearly·closes in 2mo

Will the maximum SP500 value reach 8599.99 by Jan 1, 2027?

YES means 8,600 or above

24h volume
0
110.7k lifetime
Open interest
38.4k
+123 over 7d
Spread
6¢
73 × 224 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
6%

A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
95%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 7¢
NO bid / ask
93¢ / 99¢
Recent buying73% YES · 27% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volOct 29Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3,00197¢
  • ask190¢
  • ask5,00025¢
  • ask4,29215¢
  • ask35415¢
  • ask3010¢
  • ask9110¢
  • ask2247¢
spread6¢mid 4¢
  • bid731¢
  • bid171¢
  • bid4.540¢
  • bid1480¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 8599.99, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 1 · 5:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 11:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
8599.99
ticker
KXINXMAXY-01JAN2027-8599.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 73% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago5¢34bought yes
1d ago5¢1bought yes
1d ago6¢2.26bought yes
4d ago6¢1bought no
5d ago7¢14bought yes
5d ago7¢11bought yes
5d ago7¢8.61bought yes
5d ago7¢9.65bought yes
5d ago7¢6.49bought yes
5d ago7¢13bought yes
5d ago5¢21bought no
5d ago4¢7bought no
5d ago4¢85bought no
5d ago3¢12bought no
6d ago4¢51bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.