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Johannesburg mayoral election·closes in 16mo

Will Frank Chikane win the next Johannesburg mayoral election following the 2026 municipal elections?

YES means Frank Chikane

24h volume
550
3,831 lifetime
Open interest
2,687
+1,067 over 7d
Spread
6¢
500 × 5 at the touch
24h range
17¢ – 20¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
17%−1

A YES contract costs 17¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
83%

costs 89¢

YES bid / ask
11¢ / 17¢
NO bid / ask
83¢ / 89¢
24h low 17¢24h high 20¢
Recent buying14% YES · 86% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢volSep 16Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Frank Chikane wins the next Johannesburg mayoral election following the 2026 municipal elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

Note: Johannesburg voters elect the municipal council, and the executive mayor is then chosen indirectly by a vote of that council This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 9 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXJOHANNESBURGMAYOR-26DEC31-FCHI
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 14% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7h ago17¢500bought no
7h ago18¢50bought no
3d ago18¢335bought no
4d ago17¢85bought no
4d ago18¢10bought no
4d ago18¢7bought no
5d ago19¢80bought no
5d ago20¢7.7bought no
5d ago20¢5bought no
5d ago20¢2.5bought no
5d ago20¢23bought no
5d ago20¢2.5bought no
15d ago27¢20bought yes
15d ago26¢20bought yes
15d ago26¢20bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.