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Kentucky coal production·closes in 20mo

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 22 million short tons?

YES means Above 22 million short tons

24h volume
0
19.3k lifetime
Open interest
1,209
Spread
1¢
2,050 × 5,487 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
70%

A YES contract costs 69¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
30%

costs 32¢

YES bid / ask
68¢ / 69¢
NO bid / ask
31¢ / 32¢
Recent buying73% YES · 27% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,05099¢
  • ask5698¢
  • ask33896¢
  • ask4,00295¢
  • ask1487¢
  • ask2086¢
  • ask20173¢
  • ask5,48769¢
spread1¢mid 69¢
  • bid2,05068¢
  • bid3.6365¢
  • bid20064¢
  • bid3036¢
  • bid235¢
  • bid24114¢
  • bid3,13913¢
  • bid6012¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If EIA reports that Kentucky’s total coal production for calendar year 2027 is above 22 million short tons, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Underlying is the Kentucky Total in EIA’s Table 2 - Coal Production by State for the first Quarterly Coal Report containing full-year 2027 data. Production is reported in thousand short tons and will be converted to million short tons by dividing by 1,000. Eastern and Western Kentucky production are both included.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 18 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes
Apr 30, 2028 · 1:59 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
May 7, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
floor
22
ticker
KXKYCOAL-28APR30-T22
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 73% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago70¢136bought no
2d ago70¢50bought no
2d ago70¢200bought no
2d ago70¢100bought no
4d ago71¢0.13bought yes
9d ago71¢0.61bought yes
9d ago71¢128bought yes
9d ago71¢100bought yes
9d ago71¢25bought yes
9d ago71¢72bought yes
14d ago71¢14bought yes
15d ago70¢0.87bought yes
16d ago70¢4bought yes
17d ago70¢49bought no
17d ago67¢200bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.