Will Lai Ching-te leave office before 2028-01-01T15:00:00.000Z?
YES means Before January 1, 2028
- 24h volume
- 0
- 4,506 lifetime
- Open interest
- 1,546
- Spread
- 10¢
- 200 × 205 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 4 recent trades
A YES contract costs 34¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 76¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Lai Ching-te leaves office before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
An announcement that Lai Ching-te will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. If Lai Ching-te leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death). If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
- opened
- Jan 7 · 12:00 AM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXLAIOUT-LCHI-28JAN01
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Recent trades
Over the last 4 trades, 2% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20d ago | 27¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 20d ago | 27¢ | 95 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 26¢ | 91 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 34¢ | 3 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.