Will the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit rule affirms in its entirety the district court's May 2, 2025 final judgment holding Executive Order 14230 unconstitutional and permanently enjoining it?
YES means Before 2028
- 24h volume
- 0
- 210 lifetime
- Open interest
- 210
- +0 over 7d
- Spread
- 8¢
- 5 × 10 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 3 recent trades
A YES contract costs 74¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 34¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask5099¢
- ask5298¢
- ask6697¢
- ask196¢
- ask6394¢
- ask4493¢
- ask20075¢
- ask1074¢
- bid566¢
- bid20065¢
- bid387¢
- bid512¢
- bid501¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit affirms in its entirety the district court's May 2, 2025 final judgment holding Executive Order 14230 unconstitutional and permanently enjoining it in Perkins Coie LLP v. U.S. Department of Justice, No. 25-5241 (D.C. Cir.) before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
A qualifying ruling must be a written order, opinion, judgment or decision of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit disposing of appeal No. 25-5241, the government's appeal of the Perkins Coie judgment. The appeals consolidated with it, Nos. 25-5265 (Jenner & Block), 25-5277 (WilmerHale) and 25-5310 (Susman Godfrey), count only where the same disposition also disposes of No. 25-5241. "In its entirety" means the court affirms the judgment and reverses, vacates or remands no part of it. These resolve to NO: A disposition affirming in part and reversing, vacating or remanding in part, however small the part Reversal or vacatur of the whole judgment Dismissal of the appeal, including voluntary dismissal by the government and disposal on mootness grounds A qualifying ruling settles the market when issued; a later grant of rehearing, rehearing en banc or Supreme Court review does NOT unwind it. A change in the appellee's name or corporate form, including its June 29, 2026 combination into Ashurst Perkins Coie, does NOT affect settlement.
- opened
- Aug 20 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXLAWFIRMEO-PERKINS28
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in Will the D.C. Circuit fully affirm the Perkins Coie ruling?.
Recent trades
Over the last 3 trades, 0% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19d ago | 66¢ | 200 | bought no |
| 27d ago | 67¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 29d ago | 67¢ | 5 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.