Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2031 be above 58.50%?
YES means Above 58.50%
- 24h volume
- 0
- 725 lifetime
- Open interest
- 275
- +0 over 7d
- Spread
- 42¢
- 275 × 10 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 6 recent trades
A YES contract costs 89¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 53¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask1,00098¢
- ask14094¢
- ask20090¢
- ask1089¢
- bid27547¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2031 is above 58.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2031 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on the first value published for December 2031. Later revisions, corrections, or updates will not affect resolution. If Trading Economics is unavailable or does not publish the relevant December 2031 value, Kalshi may use the corresponding value from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics or FRED series CIVPART. Values will be compared as published without additional rounding.
- opened
- Sep 3 · 6:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 9, 2032 · 1:29 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 16, 2032 · 1:30 PM UTC
- floor
- 58.5
- ticker
- KXLFPRATEEOY-32JAN09-T58.50
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Recent trades
Over the last 6 trades, 31% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15d ago | 85¢ | 200 | bought yes |
| 15d ago | 83¢ | 25 | bought yes |
| 17d ago | 86¢ | 200 | bought no |
| 17d ago | 85¢ | 200 | bought no |
| 17d ago | 86¢ | 75 | bought no |
| 17d ago | 87¢ | 25 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.