Which of these state or local laws will pass?·closes in 10d

Will the Anaheim Angels naming bill become law?

YES means Yes

24h volume
3,025
111.5k lifetime
Open interest
36.9k
−47 over 7d
Spread
12.1k × 77.6k at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 2¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 99¢
24h low 24h high
Recent buying62% YES · 38% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask11.1k99¢
  • ask55098¢
  • ask3,71966¢
  • ask37465¢
  • ask564¢
  • ask500
  • ask77.6k
spreadmid
  • bid12.1k
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If AB 2512 (2025–26 Reg. Sess.), the Home Run for Anaheim Act, or any other measure imposing its requirement that Angel Stadium disposition materials identify the franchise as the "Anaheim Angels" is enacted in California before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness The following do NOT constitute enactment: Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 17 · 6:26 PM UTC
closes
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Oct 8 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXLOCALLAW-CAAANG-26OCT01
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will the Anaheim Angels naming bill become law?.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 62% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
37m ago25bought yes
2h ago1,023bought no
2h ago1,977bought no
3d ago47bought yes
3d ago23bought no
4d ago41bought no
4d ago8.58bought no
6d ago60bought no
6d ago407bought no
6d ago468bought yes
7d ago33bought yes
9d ago2.01bought no
10d ago5.46bought no
10d ago1bought yes
11d ago33bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.